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Claire Giangravé
The Aguilar ConversationsMonday, June 22 • 10:00 AM

The Pontificate of Pope Leo XIV

Join Tony Aguilar as he speaks with Claire Giangravé, reporter for Religion News Service, about several key issues facing the Catholic Church today, including Pope Leo's recent trip to Spain, the challenge of ministering to a global Church, and the future direction of the papacy.

Claire Giangravé

Reporter, Religion News Service — covering the Catholic Church and the Vatican

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Casa Margo

An independent forum for research and commentary on geopolitics, democracy, and international relations. We analyze emerging national and global trends and the future of democratic systems.

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Latest Commentary
United States Capitol building, seat of the House of Representatives
United States2026Tony Aguilar

Democrats Are Favored to Win Back the House, But Can They Avoid Defeat from the Jaws of Victory?

Democrats are favored by various polls to win back the House of Representatives at the November 2026 midterm election. Election polls such as the Emerson College Polling Center give generic Democrats a double digit advantage. Like all elections however, they must take precautions to prevent the snatching of defeat from the jaws of victory.

One example is the race for the 12th congressional district in New Jersey to replace the retiring congresswoman Bonnie Watson-Coleman. While Democrats are not in danger of losing the seat, the Democratic nominee will most certainly be portrayed as a radical extremist by the Republican Party. Democrats are favored to win in November but through their own stumbling and infighting it may not be as easy as they thought.

Democrats · 2026 Midterms · DSA · House of Representatives · Elections
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About the Author

Tony Aguilar is the founder of Casa Margo Communications Group and a veteran political analyst and commentator specializing in international affairs, democracy, and U.S. foreign policy.

Latest Commentary
Diverse team of scientists in white lab coats collaborating in a modern oncology research laboratory
Global Health2026Dr. Aqsa Munir

Cancer Vaccines Are Coming, But Will the World Share the Breakthrough?

mRNA cancer vaccines are showing remarkable results. In a randomized phase 2b study, Moderna and Merck's individualized therapy combined with pembrolizumab reduced the risk of recurrence or death by 49 percent compared with pembrolizumab alone at five years. A 2026 Nature study of early triple negative breast cancer found 11 of 14 patients remained relapse-free for as long as six years after receiving a personalized mRNA vaccine.

Yet scientific success does not automatically create global access. WHO reported in 2026 that only 29 percent of low income countries said cancer medicines were generally available, compared with 96 percent of high income countries. The International Agency for Research on Cancer projects annual cases will exceed 35 million by 2050, with a 142 percent proportional increase in countries with low human development. The decisive question is whether access is designed while products are being developed, or discussed after wealthy countries have secured supply.

Cancer Vaccines · mRNA · Global Health Equity · Oncology
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About the Author

Dr. Aqsa Munir is a contributor to Aguilar Commentary, providing independent analysis on global affairs, humanitarian policy, and international development.

Coming Events
Rev. Dr. Samuel Cruz of Union Theological Seminary
The Aguilar Conversations

An Urgent Need: Decolonizing the Latinx Pentecostalism and Evangelical Movement

The Aguilar Conversations welcomes Rev. Dr. Samuel Cruz of Union Theological Seminary as he discusses what he calls "An urgent need of decolonizing the Latinx Pentecostalism and evangelical movement."

Rev. Dr. Samuel Cruz

Professor, Union Theological Seminary

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Flirting with Evil: The Catholic Church in the Age of Total War by Dr. Ambrogio Caiani
The Aguilar ConversationsMonday, July 27 • 10:00 AM

Flirting with Evil: The Catholic Church in the Age of Total War

Join Tony Aguilar as he welcomes Dr. Ambrogio Caiani to discuss his new book Flirting with Evil: The Catholic Church in the Age of Total War. The conversation will explore the Catholic Church's complex relationship with totalitarian regimes during the 20th century, and what history reveals about faith, power, and moral compromise.

Dr. Ambrogio Caiani

Dr. Ambrogio Caiani

Historian and author of Flirting with Evil: The Catholic Church in the Age of Total War

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Technology July 2026
Artificial intelligence neural network representing AI and information integrity
The Aguilar ConversationsTechnology & Democracy

New Lessons from OpenAI and Hugging Face: Artificial Intelligence Is Modifying Information Integrity

Artificial intelligence is changing how people communicate, consume information, and form opinions. Recent reports involving an OpenAI AI agent and Hugging Face have raised new concerns about AI safety, regulation, and the ability of advanced systems to create, manipulate, and distribute convincing content at unprecedented speed. The defining challenge of the AI era is no longer whether machines can create realistic content — it is whether people can trust the information they receive.

Melissa K. Cannell

Newspaper reporter, freelance correspondent, and public relations representative — Weber State University

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Latest Commentary
Artificial intelligence neural network representing AI and information integrity
TechnologyJanuary 13, 2025Melissa K. Cannell

New Lessons from OpenAI and Hugging Face: Artificial Intelligence Is Modifying Information Integrity

Artificial intelligence is changing how people communicate, consume information, and form opinions. Recent reports involving an OpenAI AI agent and Hugging Face have raised new concerns about AI safety, regulation, and the ability of advanced systems to create, manipulate, and distribute convincing content at unprecedented speed.

The impact of AI extends far beyond cybersecurity. As these systems become more sophisticated, they have the potential to influence elections, journalism, education, business decisions, and everyday life. The defining challenge of the AI era is no longer whether machines can create realistic content. It is whether people can trust the information they receive.

For journalists, communicators, and other information gatekeepers, securing public trust has become increasingly difficult. Verifying authenticity and identifying manipulated content are now essential responsibilities.

Information Integrity in the AI Era

The definition of information integrity refers to the accuracy, reliability, transparency, and trustworthiness of information throughout its creation, distribution, and preservation. Traditional misinformation relied on individuals creating and sharing false or misleading claims. AI expands that threat by allowing people and organizations to form realistic content quickly and at scale.

Examples of misinformation include synthetic videos, AI-generated images, voice cloning, fake social media accounts, and coordinated influence campaigns, all of which can now be created with increasing ease. AI can also produce websites and digital content that closely resemble legitimate news sources, making it harder for audiences to distinguish authentic reporting from fabricated material.

The greatest danger is not simply one false claim. It is one person or organization causing enough confusion and contention to disrupt elections or society. AI can create entire narratives designed to mold public opinion before facts can be verified. In today's information environment, speed often outpaces accuracy. Information integrity matters in a democracy. It is also vital in journalism, financial markets, and public institutions, all of which depend on one fundamental principle: people must be able to trust the information they use to make decisions every day.

Democracy, AI and Elections

Democratic and free elections depend on informed citizens, transparent systems, government officials, and confidence in public election judges. AI-powered election and political campaigns stir the pot with false narratives, impersonate trusted voices, target specific communities, and weaken confidence in elections and the media. American society is just beginning to see the connection between AI and democracy expand.

The purpose of manipulation is not always to convince people of a specific falsehood. Sometimes the goal is uncertainty. When citizens begin doubting every source, image, and piece of information they encounter, societal confidence suffers.

New York Assemblymember Alex Bores, who represents the 73rd District covering parts of Manhattan's East Side, is a visible and highly vocal figure in discussions about AI regulation. Bores has publicly stated that a disinformation campaign targeted him after supporting stronger AI regulation measures. His experience demonstrates how AI policy has moved beyond a technical discussion into a larger debate about innovation, regulation, corporate influence, and democratic accountability.

The New AI Power Structure

As AI becomes a major economic and political force, technology leaders and investors are helping shape its future direction. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has described AI as one of the most transformative technologies in modern history. Experts contend that AI can accelerate scientific research, improve productivity, and expand human abilities. Critics continue to articulate concerns about safety, oversight, employment disruption, and the concentration of technological power.

Peter Thiel favors an alternative perspective in the AI debate. Thiel is the former CEO of PayPal, a technology investor and political commentator who has shaped discussions about innovation, government, and the relationship between technology and democratic institutions. In his 2009 essay, "The Education of a Libertarian," he says he "no longer believes freedom and democracy are compatible."

Journalism's New Responsibility

Journalism has always depended on accuracy, verification, fairness, and accountability. AI has added another responsibility: determining whether information itself is authentic. Journalists should ask themselves: "Who created this information? Where did it originate? Can the source be independently verified? Has the content been altered or generated by AI?"

Today, journalists have learned how to use more tools, and there are more verification options at their disposal to combat disinformation. Deeper authentication techniques, which include reverse-image searches, metadata analysis, source comparison, and video authentication, are becoming essential reporting tools. Journalists must also recognize coordinated influence campaigns, including artificial engagement, fabricated accounts, and repeated messaging patterns. The future of journalism will depend not only on reporting information but also on defending its authenticity.

Protecting Information Integrity

Artificial intelligence is not disappearing. It represents both tremendous opportunities and serious risks. The challenge is not whether AI should exist, but how society can responsibly manage a technology advancing faster than many institutions can adapt.

A healthy democracy requires more than access to information. It requires confidence that information is accurate, authentic, and trustworthy. The future of democracy will not be determined only by who creates the most advanced AI systems. It will also depend on whether society can preserve trust in the information those systems produce.

There's no doubt AI is altering America's future on multiple levels. However, one principle remains unchanged: democracy depends on informed citizens. Protecting information integrity is no longer only a journalistic responsibility; it is a responsibility shared by citizens and the government, too.

AI · Information Integrity · Democracy · OpenAI · Hugging Face
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About the Author

Melissa K. Cannell is a newspaper reporter, freelance correspondent, and public relations representative. A graduate of Weber State University, her writing has appeared in the Davis County Clipper, Utah Spirit magazine, and the Deseret News.

Latest Commentary
Rupert Lowe, British MP, on the Joe Rogan podcast
Media2025Tony Aguilar

Algorithms Are a Key Life Blood of Social Media Entities

On a recent episode of the Joe Rogan podcast, Rogan interviewed British MP Rupert Lowe. Lowe also traveled to Texas where he was welcomed by Elon Musk during the Fourth of July weekend.

Social Media · Algorithms · Rupert LoweRead
Jay Feely congressional campaign Arizona
United States2026Tony Aguilar

Relationships, Money, and the Question of Jay Feely (Part 3)

Relationships and money are essential aspects to gain electoral office. It would be an interesting question to ask why various media and sports figures are financially supporting Jay Feely.

Arizona Congress · Jay Feely · Jim NantzRead
Fourth of July fireworks over the United States Capitol building
United StatesJuly 4, 2026Tony Aguilar

Bridge Over Troubled Water

As America celebrates its 250th birthday, Tony Aguilar reflects on the nation's troubled waters — from the Patriot Front marching through Washington DC to the removal of MLK Day and Juneteenth as National Park Service free days.

America · Democracy · Fourth of JulyRead
Latest Commentary
AI and journalism media economy transformation
Media2026Melissa Cannell

The AI Reputation Economy Has Arrived

Journalism is undergoing another structural shift as AI reshapes how information is produced and valued. Major publishers have entered licensing agreements with AI companies while The New York Times' lawsuit against OpenAI sets the stage for a copyright battle.

AI · Journalism · Media EconomyRead
Is It Always About Oil - energy geopolitics
Middle East2026Tony Aguilar

Is It Always About Oil?

From the 1953 US-British coup in Iran to Venezuela's oil reserves and the Strait of Hormuz standoff, Tony Aguilar examines how oil has driven American foreign policy and why the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at its lowest level since 1983.

Iran · Oil · Strait of HormuzRead
Television broadcast news studio with cameras and anchor desk
MediaJune 2026Melissa K. Cannell

When Journalism Becomes a Corporate Asset, Everybody Loses

CBS News fired Scott Pelley after he criticized leadership and accused the editor-in-chief of murdering 60 Minutes. When corporations treat journalism as a brand rather than a public trust, credibility suffers.

Media · CBS News · Editorial IndependenceRead
Latest Commentary
AI and journalism media economy transformation
Media2026Melissa Cannell

The AI Reputation Economy Has Arrived

Journalism is undergoing another structural shift as artificial intelligence reshapes how information is produced, distributed, and valued. The media industry now sits at an inflection point where the next economic model is still forming, but its early shape is visible through licensing agreements, litigation, and platform integration.

Major publishers including The Associated Press, News Corp, Axel Springer, and The Financial Times have entered licensing agreements with AI companies such as OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft. Meanwhile, The New York Times' ongoing lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft has set the stage for a battle over copyright, fair use, and the boundaries of machine learning training practices.

AI · Journalism · Media Economy · Licensing · Knowledge Systems
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About the Author

Melissa Cannell is a newspaper reporter, freelance correspondent, and public relations representative. A graduate of Weber State University, her writing has appeared in the Davis County Clipper, Utah Spirit magazine, and the Deseret News.

Latest Commentary
Historians debating presidential consequentiality
United States2026Tony Aguilar

How Consequential Is the Trump Administration? Historians Weigh In

Three esteemed historians - Victor Davis Hanson, Sir Niall Ferguson, and Steven Kotkin - were hosted by Peter Robinson to debate the consequentiality of the Trump administration. While Hanson and Ferguson gave the president high marks, Kotkin maintained his role as historian and stated it is too soon to tell.

Being consequential does not denote whether a president was good or bad, but whether their actions had a profound effect on the nation. The question is not whether President Trump is consequential but how consequential and for how long.

Trump · Presidential History · Historians · Victor Davis Hanson · Niall Ferguson
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About the Author

Tony Aguilar is the founder of Casa Margo Communications Group and a veteran political analyst and commentator specializing in international affairs, democracy, and U.S. foreign policy.

Latest Commentary
Television broadcast news studio with cameras and anchor desk
MediaJune 2026Melissa K. Cannell

When Journalism Becomes a Corporate Asset, Everybody Loses

On June 2, CBS News fired longtime 60 Minutescorrespondent Scott Pelley. His dismissal came after he criticized Executive Producer Nick Bilton and accused Editor-in-Chief Bari Weiss of “murdering” the show during a heated staff meeting. One of America's most trusted news brands is experiencing a period of turmoil.

Known for accountability journalism and tough interviews with public officials, 60 Minutes now faces questions about its internal governance and editorial independence. When corporations treat journalism primarily as an asset rather than a public trust, they risk compromising its credibility.

Media · Journalism · CBS News · 60 Minutes · Editorial Independence
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About the Author

Melissa K. Cannell is a newspaper reporter, freelance correspondent, and public relations representative. A graduate of Weber State University, her writing has appeared in the Davis County Clipper, Utah Spirit magazine, and the Deseret News.

Latest Commentary
South African Parliament building in Cape Town
AfricaJune 2026Daniel Onyango

Ramaphosa Faces Impeachment Test as South Africa's Coalition & Stability Hangs in Balance

South Africa's parliament is convening an impeachment committee to scrutinize President Cyril Ramaphosa over the long-running Farmgate scandal, threatening the resilience of the country's young democracy.

South Africa · Ramaphosa · ImpeachmentRead
Pakistan and Iran diplomats at a formal diplomatic meeting
Geopolitics2026Areeb Imran

Pakistan at the Center of Iran and US Diplomacy

As fears of a wider Middle East war intensified in 2026, Pakistan emerged as a key mediator between Iran and the United States, leveraging its unique diplomatic relationships with all major stakeholders.

Pakistan · Iran · US DiplomacyRead
Healthcare workers in PPE at an Ebola treatment centre in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Global Health2026Dr. Aqsa Munir

The Present Ebola Crisis: Why the World Cannot Look Away

The current Ebola epidemic spreading through the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda is a clear warning to the world. By late May 2026, the DRC recorded 282 verified cases and 42 known deaths.

Ebola · Global Health · CongoRead
Latest Commentary
South African Parliament building in Cape Town
AfricaJune 2026Daniel Onyango

Ramaphosa Faces Impeachment Test as South Africa's Coalition & Stability Hangs in Balance

South Africa's parliament is convening an impeachment committee to scrutinize President Cyril Ramaphosa over the long-running "Farmgate" scandal. Downplayed for years, the political drama threatens to test the resilience of the country's young democracy and its fragile Government of National Unity.

Triggered by a Constitutional Court ruling in May 2026, the process marks the latest chapter in a saga that began in 2020 when burglars raided Ramaphosa's Phala Phala game farm. A 31-member impeachment committee drawn from 16 political parties is set to begin its meetings. Though any removal vote requires a two-thirds majority, the political fallout could reshape South Africa's fragile coalition.

South Africa · Ramaphosa · Impeachment · Farmgate · ANC · Democracy
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About the Author

Daniel Onyango is a writer and analyst covering African politics, governance, and democratic development.

Latest Commentary
Pakistan and Iran diplomats at a formal diplomatic meeting
Geopolitics2026Areeb Imran

Pakistan at the Center of Iran and US Diplomacy

As fears of a wider Middle East war intensified in 2026, few countries possessed both the incentive and the ability to prevent further escalation. At the center of that effort stood Pakistan, a country whose geography, diplomatic relationships, and strategic interests placed it in a uniquely influential position. In a region increasingly defined by polarization, Islamabad found itself performing one of the most delicate balancing acts in contemporary diplomacy.

For Pakistan, involvement in the Iran-US negotiations was not simply an opportunity to enhance its international standing. It was a matter of national security, economic stability, and regional necessity. Few countries simultaneously maintain active channels of communication with Iran, the Gulf states, China, and the United States, making Islamabad an indispensable bridge during a period of profound mistrust.

Pakistan · Iran · United States · Diplomacy · Mediation · South Asia
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About the Author

Areeb Imran is a contributor to Aguilar Commentary, providing independent analysis on South Asian affairs, diplomacy, and international security.

New Commentary
Global Health2026Dr. Aqsa Munir

The Present Ebola Crisis: Why the World Cannot Look Away

The current Ebola epidemic spreading through the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda is a clear warning to the world. It is caused by the Bundibugyo strain of the virus. This form of Ebola is dangerous, as there is neither an approved vaccine nor any treatment for it.

Ebola does not spread easily like the flu, but is lethal when the disease enters families, health centres, or local communities. The outbreak should not be perceived solely as an African problem. Ebola is an inherently global health challenge; it travels via humans, health systems are interconnected, and when a local epidemic is neglected, it can quickly escalate.

What is Happening Now?

By late May 2026, the number of reported Ebola cases had climbed significantly. According to Reuters, the Democratic Republic of Congo recorded 282 verified cases, with 42 known deaths. Ituri Province was reported to have the highest number of infections, although cases were confirmed in Uganda, as well. The WHO expressed its concern about the effects of poor information and unsanitary burial practices on the spread of the virus.

Although alarming, these numbers are probably lower than the actual toll of the epidemic. Ebola outbreaks can occur in remote areas with limited diagnostic capacity, and some infected individuals die before reaching medical facilities. Others may try to conceal their symptoms to avoid quarantine and the social stigma associated with the disease.

How Many Could Be Affected?

While verified cases are in the hundreds, the number of people indirectly affected could be significantly larger. This does not necessarily mean millions will contract Ebola, but rather millions will live under a shadow of fear, subject to border controls, clinics under strain, reduced income, and pressure on their healthcare systems. In eastern Congo, already fractured by conflict, poverty, and widespread displacement, a high concentration of people living in close proximity makes contact tracing and patient isolation far more difficult. Should the epidemic not be contained quickly, it is likely to spread from hundreds to thousands, impacting millions in Congo, Uganda, and neighboring nations.

Why is it a Global Problem?

The problem of Ebola requires a global perspective for three main reasons:

1. Disease transcends borders. The outbreak in Uganda demonstrates that an epidemic is not confined to a single nation. Several suspected travel-linked cases have also been investigated outside of Africa, although many later tested negative for Ebola.

2. Weak health systems affect everyone. Ebola has devastating effects on the health professionals who confront it. Should medical personnel fall ill, routine care is inevitably compromised, leading to an increase in deaths from other diseases.

3. We have been in this situation before. The Ebola epidemic in West Africa and, more recently, the COVID-19 pandemic show us that idleness is both deadly and costly. Early intervention is more affordable and far safer than dealing with later panic.

How the Crisis Might Have Been Avoided

It may not always be possible to prevent the first case of Ebola itself, as it arises from contact with infected animals. However, the size of the epidemic might have been reduced through the early detection of cases in strengthened local health systems, quicker diagnosis at faster diagnostic centres, and swifter contact tracing by more available health workers. Bundibugyo Ebola has been known for years, but there still remains no approved vaccine or treatment for it. Diseases that pose a threat to poorer countries are generally underfunded. Better preparation could have involved regular outbreak drills, improved border health officials, more sophisticated clinics, safer personal protective equipment, greater local education, and stable funding.

Trump's Response

Donald Trump's reaction deserves both commendation and critique. On the plus side, the US has contributed funding, personnel from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), airport health screening, and medical aid to Ebola treatment centers. These are vital components of a well-staffed, properly-resourced clinic.

The downside is that the response seems focused primarily on ensuring that the virus does not reach American soil, and travel restrictions, while seemingly stringent, are hardly the definitive solution. The WHO has spoken out against unwarranted restrictions on trade and travel, as they may encourage stigma and deter countries from reporting outbreaks in the future. The most logical way of combating it is not through travelers entering or leaving the country but through aiding the affected countries to get a handle on the outbreak swiftly.

What Other Countries Should Do

Nations should take rapid, practical action. Rich nations should provide not only funds but also PPE, portable diagnostic centres, transport ambulances, sanitation, and skilled teams. They should work with the WHO, Africa CDC, local health ministries, and aid organizations such as Médecins Sans Frontières and the Red Cross. Political infighting and other conflicts should not stand in the way of assistance. States should refrain from casting blame and fostering stigmas; this has been a key contributor to previous epidemics escalating beyond control.

The Bottom Line

The current Ebola epidemic should be seen as a crucial test of international responsibility. We already have the tools to combat such an outbreak. We also know that indecisiveness and delayed action lead to disastrous outcomes. This epidemic can still be brought under control, but only through immediate government cooperation. Ultimately, this fight is not just about saving lives in Congo and Uganda but about demonstrating to the world that effective global health security can only be achieved through early and fair intervention at the point of origin.

Ebola · Global Health · Congo · Uganda · Public Health · Bundibugyo

About the Author

Dr. Aqsa Munir is a contributor to Aguilar Commentary, providing independent analysis on global affairs, humanitarian policy, and international development.

Latest Commentary
Healthcare workers in PPE at an Ebola treatment centre in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Global Health2026Dr. Aqsa Munir

The Present Ebola Crisis: Why the World Cannot Look Away

The current Ebola epidemic spreading through the Democratic Republic of Congo and Uganda is a clear warning to the world. It is caused by the Bundibugyo strain of the virus — dangerous, with neither an approved vaccine nor any treatment available. By late May 2026, the DRC recorded 282 verified cases and 42 known deaths.

Ebola does not spread easily like the flu, but is lethal when the disease enters families, health centres, or local communities. The outbreak should not be perceived solely as an African problem. Ebola is an inherently global health challenge — it travels via humans, health systems are interconnected, and when a local epidemic is neglected, it can quickly escalate.

Ebola · Global Health · Congo · Uganda · Public Health · Bundibugyo
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About the Author

Dr. Aqsa Munir is a contributor to Aguilar Commentary, providing independent analysis on global affairs, humanitarian policy, and international development.

Past Event
The Lost History of Liberalism by Dr. Helena Rosenblatt
The Aguilar Conversations

Dr. Marlene Wind, professor of political science at the University of Copenhagen, and Dr. Dafydd Townley of the Military Education Team at Portsmouth University discuss the future of NATO.

NATO headquarters with member nation flags
The Aguilar Conversations

NATO: Past, Present and Future

The Aguilar Conversations brings together two leading international security scholars for an in-depth discussion on the North Atlantic Alliance — examining its founding principles, evolving role in a shifting geopolitical landscape, and what the future holds for collective defence in the 21st century.

March 23, 2026

Featured Guests

Dr. Dafydd Townley

Dr. Dafydd Townley

Senior Teaching Fellow in International Security, University of Portsmouth

Dr. Marlene Wind

Dr. Marlene Wind

Professor of Political Science, University of Copenhagen & Director, Centre for European Politics

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Latest Commentary
Iran — Can Reza Pahlavi Unite the Opposition?
IranMay 7, 2026Alexandra Eleferenko

Can Reza Pahlavi Unite Iran?

In recent years, debates over Iran's political future have increasingly focused on Reza Pahlavi, the son of Iran's last Shah, who has re-emerged as a prominent and controversial personality. Whether he could serve as an organizing principle for a broader political grand bargain — uniting opposition forces and enabling a transition of power — remains an open question.

A 2022 survey of 158,000 respondents inside Iran found that Pahlavi received the highest level of support — 32.8% — in the event of a regime transition. Yet his ability to genuinely consolidate the opposition remains deeply uncertain given Iran's fragmented political landscape.

Iran · Geopolitics · Opposition Politics · Regime Change
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About the Author

Alexandra Eleferenko is a geopolitical analyst and independent researcher holding a Master's degree in International Relations from IE University, with a specialization in Global Governance and International Cooperation. Her research focuses primarily on Russia, digital diplomacy, and the strategic use of sports diplomacy. From 2021 to 2024, she served as a contributing writer for the IE International Policy Review.

Latest Commentary
Aid workers distributing food and medical supplies in a humanitarian crisis zone
Global Affairs2025Dr. Aqsa Munir

What Happens When USAID Is Cut and How It Became a Human Crisis

In 2025, the United States drastically cut USAID, and the repercussions were felt throughout the world. OECD preliminary data show that total official development assistance fell 23.1% in 2025, the biggest one-year drop ever recorded. The United States experienced a reduction of approximately three-quarters of the total decrease due to USAID alone.

UNICEF warns at least 14 million children face disruptions to critical nutrition services. UNAIDS projects 6.6 million more HIV infections and 4.2 million more AIDS-related deaths by 2029 if U.S.-supported HIV services are not replaced.

USAID · Foreign Aid · Global Health · Humanitarian Crisis · Development
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About the Author

Dr. Aqsa Munir is a contributor to Aguilar Commentary, providing independent analysis on global affairs, humanitarian policy, and international development.

Latest Commentary
Power grid transmission towers at dusk with data center in the background
Technology2026Melissa K. Cannell

AI and Data Center Growth Pushing America's Fragmented Power Grid to Its Limits

Artificial intelligence (AI) runs inside expansive U.S. data centers. These facilities continue to spread as adoption accelerates. They already consume about 4-5% of the nation's electricity, and demand will rise over the next 5, 10, and 15 years. Depending on size, a single site can house 500 to more than 100,000 servers — all requiring constant power from an aging, uneven grid.

The U.S. does not lack energy. It lacks a modern, efficient delivery system. Most transmission lines are now 40-60 years old, creating bottlenecks that put grid stress at its highest in Texas, Virginia, the Midwest, and the West.

AI · Data Centers · Power Grid · Energy Policy · Technology
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About the Author

Melissa K. Cannell is a newspaper reporter, freelance correspondent, and public relations representative. A graduate of Weber State University, her writing has appeared in the Davis County Clipper, Utah Spirit magazine, and the Deseret News.

Latest Commentary
US Constitution document and American flag
Democracy2026Tony Aguilar

Stop Pretending Birthright Citizenship Is a Crisis

As the nation celebrates its 250th birthday, the issue of who should count as a citizen is once again front and center in American discourse about the 14th Amendment. Those who claim the initial purpose of the 14th Amendment was about granting citizenship to former slaves and overturning the horrendous Dred Scott decision are correct. But the story does not end there.

The present challenge is not about civilizational superiority. Despite protestations by various American pundits, the real issue is who gets to wield political power and who to cast aspersions on as a liability to society.

14th Amendment · Birthright Citizenship · Democracy · Immigration · Supreme Court
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About the Author

Tony Aguilar is the founder of Casa Margo Communications Group and a veteran political analyst and commentator specializing in international affairs, democracy, and U.S. foreign policy.

Latest Commentary
BRICS summit diplomacy discussing Strait of Hormuz crisis
Geopolitics2026Suman Keshanti

BRICS and the Strait of Hormuz: Can the Bloc Step Up?

The current military standoff between the two nations is quickly turning out to be an international stress test of energy security, commerce, and crisis negotiation. With the conflict threatening the vital Straits of Hormuz — which carries about a fifth of all international oil and liquefied natural gas transportation — it becomes imperative who could negotiate and resolve the matter at hand.

Here, the significance of the BRICS organization comes into play as a political and not simply economic organization. The recent addition of Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE means that the organization will have both warring nations within its ambit.

BRICS · Iran · Strait of Hormuz · Energy Security · Maritime Trade
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About the Author

Suman Keshanti is a contributor to Aguilar Commentary, providing independent analysis on international affairs and geopolitics.

Latest Commentary
Spanish Parliament building in Madrid
Europe2026Alexandra Eleferenko

A Master of Survival: Pedro Sánchez's Multi-Front Political Struggle

Spain is navigating a complex and volatile political landscape, with Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez at the center of mounting domestic and international pressures. Growing political polarization, corruption allegations, protests, and renewed tensions over Catalan independence have all placed his leadership under strain.

His foreign policy positioning, including a critical stance toward Donald Trump and refusal to support the US war in Iran, further reflects an attempt to balance Spain's role within a shifting global order. Sánchez is likely to remain in power in the short term, but in a state of managed instability.

Spain · Catalonia · NATO · Corruption · Pedro Sánchez
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About the Author

Alexandra Eleferenko is a geopolitical analyst and independent researcher holding a Master's degree in International Relations from IE University, with a specialization in Global Governance and International Cooperation. Her research focuses primarily on Russia, digital diplomacy, and the strategic use of sports diplomacy. From 2021 to 2024, she served as a contributing writer for the IE International Policy Review.

Latest Commentary
North American border crossing with US, Mexico and Canada flags
Trade Policy2026Melissa K. Cannell

Beyond NAFTA's Shadow: Can USMCA Survive Rising Trade Tensions?

As North America approaches the July 1, 2026, review of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), the stakes could not be higher. Lawmakers, businesses, and workers are watching closely to see whether the pact can deliver on its promises: supporting U.S. jobs, boosting growth in industries such as automotive manufacturing, and safeguarding intellectual property and digital trade.

The backdrop is tense, with negotiations limited, Canada staying on the sidelines, and lingering Trump-era tariffs continuing to complicate the road ahead. Mexico's door is open, and dialogue is happening. The review could either solidify North America's trade partnership or expose its vulnerabilities.

USMCA · North America · Trade · Tariffs · Canada · Mexico
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About the Author

Melissa K. Cannell is a newspaper reporter, freelance correspondent, and public relations representative. A graduate of Weber State University, her writing has appeared in the Davis County Clipper, Utah Spirit magazine, and the Deseret News.

Latest Commentary
US warship in the Persian Gulf at dusk
Middle East2026Tony Aguilar

The War Against Iran Is Triggering Consequences No One Is Ready For

President Trump backed off his threat to bomb Iran by extending the ultimatum two weeks, yet serious questions remain about unintended consequences. Central among them is whether Iran actually posed a direct threat to the continental United States - a question that remains unresolved.

From just war doctrine to desalination plants, European delinking, and the origins of U.S.-Iran hostility in Operation Ajax, the war's ripple effects reach far beyond the battlefield.

Iran · Just War · Gulf States · NATO · Foreign Policy
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About the Author

Tony Aguilar is the founder of Casa Margo Communications Group and a veteran political analyst and commentator specializing in international affairs, democracy, and U.S. foreign policy.

Latest Commentary
Saudi Arabia, India, and Pakistan flags at a diplomatic summit
Geopolitics2026Suman Keshanti

Saudi Arabia's Strategic Balancing Between India and Pakistan

Saudi Arabia maintains strong ties with both India and Pakistan despite their long rivalry. This balancing strategy helps Riyadh pursue its own interests through energy security, regional stability and Vision 2030 goals. While oil remains central, India's economic importance and Pakistan's security role both shape Saudi policy.

The September 2025 Saudi-Pakistan Defence Pact and deepening Saudi-India economic ties have created a complex triangular dynamic. Saudi Arabia supplies about 18 percent of India's crude oil demand while simultaneously pledging $100 billion to Indian energy and technology sectors — all while maintaining strategic insurance through Pakistan's military capabilities.

Saudi Arabia · India · Pakistan · Energy Security · Vision 2030
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About the Author

Suman Keshanti is a geopolitical analyst and researcher specializing in South Asian affairs, energy security, and regional diplomacy.

Latest Commentary
Brazzaville, Republic of Congo
AfricaMarch 2026Daniel Onyango

Facade of Democracy: Congo's President Secures Fifth Term, Extending 42-Year Rule

Congo Republic's incumbent President Denis Sassou Nguesso has secured another five-year term under the ruling Labour party, in a result critics termed a "Scandalous Charade."The 82-year-old, who has ruled the oil-rich Central African nation for 42 of 47 years, secured 94.82% of the vote despite boycotts, internet blackouts, and deep public disillusionment.

Critics and civil society groups described a "facade of democracy"in a country ranked near the bottom on global indices for political freedoms and corruption, with youth unemployment hovering near 40% despite the nation being the third-largest oil producer in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Africa · Democracy · Elections · Congo
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About the Author

Daniel Onyango is a writer and analyst covering African politics, governance, and democratic development.

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Italian Supreme Court building in Rome
EuropeMarch 17, 2026

Meloni's Court Reform: Efficiency or Political Control?

Judicial reform has become a contested issue in Italian politics, with Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni placing institutional changes at the center of her political agenda. Supporters argue that the proposal can strengthen the impartiality of courts and clarify responsibilities.

Italy · Judiciary · DemocracyRead
US Navy warship in the Strait of Hormuz
Middle EastMar 18, 2026

A Call of Desperation

As the war with Iran enters its third week, the American president has begun to plead for assistance in opening the Strait of Hormuz. Despite comments saying that Iran has been incapacitated, he has called upon nations to help fight a war they did not initiate.

Iran · Strait of Hormuz · AlliesRead
Prime Minister Modi speaking at the Raisina Dialogue 2026
GeopoliticsMarch 10, 2026

Raisina Dialogue 2026: India's Strategic Vision In a Multipolar World

An in-depth analysis of India's strategic positioning at the Raisina Dialogue 2026, examining how New Delhi is navigating the complexities of a multipolar world order.

India · Raisina · Multipolar StrategyRead
Italian Supreme Court building in Rome
EuropeMarch 17, 2026Alexandra Eleferenko

Meloni's Court Reform: Efficiency or Political Control?

Judicial reform has become a contested issue in Italian politics, with Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni placing institutional changes at the center of her political agenda. Supporters argue that the proposal can strengthen the impartiality of courts and clarify responsibilities.

Italy · Judiciary · DemocracyRead
US Navy warship in the Strait of Hormuz
Middle EastMar 18, 2026Tony Aguilar

A Call of Desperation

As the war with Iran enters its third week, the American president has begun to plead for assistance in opening the Strait of Hormuz. Despite comments saying that Iran has been incapacitated, he has called upon nations to help fight a war they did not initiate.

Iran · Strait of Hormuz · AlliesRead
Prime Minister Modi speaking at the Raisina Dialogue 2026
GeopoliticsMarch 10, 2026Suman Keshanti

Raisina Dialogue 2026: India's Strategic Vision In a Multipolar World

An in-depth analysis of India's strategic positioning at the Raisina Dialogue 2026, examining how New Delhi is navigating the complexities of a multipolar world order.

India · Raisina · Multipolar StrategyRead
Featured Commentary
Italian Supreme Court building in Rome
EuropeMarch 17, 2026Alexandra Eleferenko

Meloni's Court Reform: Efficiency or Political Control?

Judicial reform has become a contested issue in Italian politics, with Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni placing institutional changes at the center of her political agenda. Supporters argue that the proposal can strengthen the impartiality of courts and clarify responsibilities. Critics warn that judicial independence may be weakened and that politicization would increase.

As Italy prepares for a referendum, the issue has evolved from a technical legal debate into a political test for the government ahead of the 2027 elections.

Italy · Judiciary · Democracy · 2027 Elections
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About the Author

Alexandra Eleferenko is a geopolitical analyst and independent researcher holding a Master's degree in International Relations from IE University, with a specialization in Global Governance and International Cooperation. Her research focuses primarily on Russia, digital diplomacy, and the strategic use of sports diplomacy. From 2021 to 2024, she served as a contributing writer for the IE International Policy Review.

Featured Commentary
US Navy warship in the Strait of Hormuz
Middle EastMar 18, 2026Tony Aguilar

A Call of Desperation?

As the war with Iran enters its third week, the American president has begun to plead for assistance in opening the Strait of Hormuz. Despite comments saying that Iran has been incapacitated, he has called upon nations to help fight a war they did not initiate.

“Major powers, no matter how powerful, need allies.”

Tony Aguilar
Iran · Strait of Hormuz · Allies
Read the commentary
Latest CommentaryMarch 2026
Religion & SocietyDemocracySociety
Featured Commentary
Prime Minister Modi speaking at the Raisina Dialogue 2026
GeopoliticsMarch 10, 2026Suman Keshanti

Raisina Dialogue 2026: India's Strategic Vision In a Multipolar World

An in-depth analysis of India's strategic positioning at the Raisina Dialogue 2026, examining how New Delhi is navigating the complexities of a multipolar world order. This commentary explores India's foreign policy priorities, its relationships with major global powers, and its vision for a reformed international system that reflects the realities of the 21st century.

Raisina Dialogue 2026 · India's Multipolar Strategy
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